Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 4.949366 5.637995 6.397167 7.297744 8.338927 9.507191 10.920663
2025-03-23 4.143183 5.066439 6.165860 7.577534 9.350617 11.514994 14.374134
2025-03-30 3.574546 4.603558 5.900372 7.666613 10.027945 13.101685 17.447652
2025-04-06 3.125792 4.196147 5.607984 7.625193 10.463665 14.360343 20.192430
2025-04-13 2.769849 3.851388 5.334402 7.542139 10.789225 15.458352 22.805338
2025-04-20 2.577327 3.700790 5.297113 7.765459 11.548431 17.229751 26.602944
2025-04-27 2.400591 3.548027 5.231556 7.925934 12.213485 18.915015 30.467355
2025-05-04 2.281228 3.464131 5.252835 8.210290 13.087819 21.008756 35.253747
2025-05-11 2.067329 3.212352 4.988832 8.009150 13.146139 21.769451 37.861125
2025-05-18 1.902015 3.020437 4.798409 7.902634 13.340250 22.763860 40.989304
2025-05-25 1.761017 2.854256 4.632514 7.816269 13.551680 23.798809 44.310429
2025-06-01 1.627161 2.687767 4.450123 7.680345 13.654422 24.638799 47.354897
2025-06-08 1.497273 2.519143 4.252724 7.503903 13.673772 25.343677 50.270217
2025-06-15 1.458381 2.504082 4.319298 7.811472 14.632250 27.949437 57.451597
2025-06-22 1.389987 2.430688 4.275023 7.906093 15.186358 29.819266 63.342775
2025-06-29 1.308358 2.326512 4.165445 7.863583 15.459850 31.144584 68.220954
2025-07-06 1.228404 2.218983 4.040411 7.777727 15.632949 32.274529 72.812731
2025-07-13 1.195180 2.196129 4.072761 8.008709 16.492265 34.980120 81.537507
2025-07-20 1.156160 2.158935 4.073887 8.174700 17.228233 37.499389 90.207789
2025-07-27 1.133856 2.152272 4.133898 8.468855 18.278089 40.863095 101.570815
2025-08-03 1.059462 2.036980 3.967149 8.260780 18.167081 41.485172 105.841545
2025-08-10 1.000831 1.949284 3.850048 8.150598 18.270826 42.635805 111.728331
2025-08-17 0.948596 1.871001 3.746565 8.061265 18.414017 43.899940 118.139627